Porcelain Picks | Bankroll Build Day 3 Recap - Thursday, August 13th
Friday, August 14, 2026
Rough day but nearly a break-even one. The big PGA matchup ticket lost, all three R1 Leader longshots missed, and one of the two Larnach props whiffed, but the $250 Larnach H+R+RBI at even money hit and pulled the day back to just -$5.
Results
❌ Tommy Fleetwood -150 vs Jordan Spieth R1 2-Ball — LOST
Wager: $200 → $0 (-$200)
The biggest ticket of the day. Model gap said Fleetwood was the massive skill favorite, but golf variance in a one-round matchup does what it does. Process was right, result wasn't.
❌ Tommy Fleetwood +600 R1 Leader — LOST
Wager: $10 → $0 (-$10)
Added this in the morning as a leverage play on the 2-Ball. Missed alongside the matchup.
❌ Akshay Bhatia +4000 R1 Leader — LOST
Wager: $10 → $0 (-$10)
Longshot swing on the best Southwind course history in the field. Didn't happen.
❌ Si Woo Kim +3000 R1 Leader — LOST
Wager: $10 → $0 (-$10)
Longshot on the elite ball-striking profile. Didn't get the hot R1.
❌ Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 HR +575 — LOST
Wager: $25 → $0 (-$25)
Long-odds swing on the HR side, didn't hit.
✅ Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 H+R+RBI +100 — WON (Hard Rock)
Wager: $250 → Paid: $500 (+$250)
The saver. Larnach did enough on the H+R+RBI side at even money to nearly wipe out the day's losses. Biggest ticket cashed for a full unit at plus money.
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Still Open (PGA Weekend Outrights)
Russell Henley +4000 Outright ($10 to win $400)
Si Woo Kim Outright — Kalshi @ 2.56% ($9.99 to win ~$380)
