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Porcelain Picks | Bankroll Build Day 4 Recap - Friday, August 14th

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Rough day even with three winners. The $250 Matsuyama Under 68.5 R2 score was the sinker along with the two-team parlay missing, and the three cashes weren't enough to offset the size difference.

Results

✅ Scottie Scheffler R2 Leader -150 — WON

  • Wager: $150 → Paid: $250 (+$100 profit)

  • Added live during R2 as the size play once his round was rolling. Delivered.

    • abb35f69-8b59-4267-bb7f-864958a950f5.jpeg
    abb35f69-8b59-4267-bb7f-864958a950f5.jpeg

    ✅ Scottie Scheffler R2 Leader +120 — WON

  • Wager: $25 → Paid: $55 (+$30 profit)

  • First Scheffler R2 leader ticket added live earlier in the round. Both cashed clean.

    • b8981723-96c8-4e9e-94ea-25af1f04697e.jpeg
    b8981723-96c8-4e9e-94ea-25af1f04697e.jpeg

    ✅ Liam Hicks Over 1.5 H+R+RBI -115 — WON

  • Wager: $75 → Paid: $140.22 (+$65.22 profit)

  • Elite contact profile vs Bassitt's weak LHB splits delivered exactly what the numbers said it would.

    • 205c8014-c871-49c1-a9c8-48ef374d195d.jpeg
    205c8014-c871-49c1-a9c8-48ef374d195d.jpeg

    ❌ Hideki Matsuyama Under 68.5 R2 Score -125 — LOST

  • Wager: $250 → $0 (-$250)

  • The biggest ticket on the card missed. Elite R1 profile, elite course fit, putting had upside if it normalized. Didn't come together in R2. Painful loss on the size play.

    • ❌ Cubs ML + Yankees ML 2-Team Parlay +163 — LOST

  • Wager: $25 → $0 (-$25)

  • One of the two ML legs missed and killed the parlay.

    • Follow on X for Live Golf Additions

    Golf is one of the most live-bettable sports out there. As rounds unfold, prices move fast and the numbers shift dramatically after every hole. I often add tickets during the round when a player's live number gets to a spot the model still likes. Both Scheffler R2 leader tickets yesterday were added live at @turtlebear on X. If you're following the site for the pre-tournament card, follow along on X during the round for the live plays that don't make it into the main article.

    29981150-733d-49bc-bff4-2f7f79549980.jpeg
    29981150-733d-49bc-bff4-2f7f79549980.jpeg

    Still Open (PGA Weekend Outrights)

  • Russell Henley +4000 Outright ($10)

  • Si Woo Kim Outright — Kalshi @ 2.56% ($9.99)

  • Akshay Bhatia Outright — Kalshi @ 1.06% ($10)

    • Weekend outrights ride into R3 and R4. Any of these three cashing changes the whole weekend.

    Bankroll Update

  • Starting Bankroll: $688.94

  • Wagered Today (settled): $525

  • Returned Today: $445.22

  • Net: -$79.78

  • New Bankroll: $609.16

    • Record on settled bets: 3-2

    The size play missing is what did the damage. The three winners at smaller stakes couldn't cover the $250 Matsuyama loss.